Alleyne, Dillon; Boxill, Ian
Author Affiliation, Ana.
Department of Economics
The impact of crime on tourist arrivals in Jamaica
International journal of tourism research
Date of Publication
Also published as 'The Impact of Crime on Tourist Arrivals in Jamaica: A transfer Function Analysis' in Understanding Crime in Jamaica: New Challenges for Public Policy. Edited by Anthony Harriott. Kingston, Jamaica: University of the West Indies Press, 2003.
Examines the relationship between tourist arrivals and changes in the crime rate in Jamaica over the period 1962-1999. Uses a transfer function to account for variations in total arrivals from the European market, owing to changes in the crime rate. Notes that the transfer function allows for the modelling of the immediate and delayed effect of crime rates on tourist arrivals. Notes first that although crime rates have impact on tourism arrivals in both markets, it is of greater concern in the European market. Secondly, the impact of crime in the overall market is relatively small, because of increased advertising and promotion and the growth of all-inclusive hotels. Concludes that the level of crime, especially violent crime, has to be reduced, because although the number of crimes against tourists has declined, high violent crime rates tend to raise concerns among tourists seeking a destination.....